Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2974 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

DL 2974 · MSP → LAX

departs 2:52 PM CT · arrives 4:45 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2974 · MSP → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?