Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4180
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
G7 4180 · DCA → EWR
departs 5:56 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30 58%
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
5pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 11,000 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.