Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8195 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

JJ 8195 · MIA → GRU

departs 10:59 AM ET · arrives 8:21 PM -03

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at GRU more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRU?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

GRU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8195 · MIA → GRU

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRU?