Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8195 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

JJ 8195 · MIA → GRU

departs 11:59 AM ET · arrives 9:08 PM -03

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at GRU more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRU?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8195 · MIA → GRU

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRU?