OO 3933 · MSP → ATW

took off 9:05 PM CT · landed 10:30 PM CT (scheduled 8:15 PM CT → 9:35 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MSP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

ATW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,343 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3933 · MSP → ATW

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATW?