OO 5998 · SBN → ORD

departs 1:13 PM ET · arrives 1:17 PM CT

Your aircraft is N689SK (CRJ7), coming in as OO 4791 from ORD: still at ORD, due off about 12:30 PM CT, 39 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBN

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5998 · SBN → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?