Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5998
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 5998 · SBN → ORD
departs 1:11 PM ET · arrives 1:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 40%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from SBN are often late
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.