Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6185
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 6185 · PHX → IAH
departs 12:43 PM MT · arrives 5:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30 42%
Sun 11/1 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.