OO 6185 · PHX → IAH

departs 12:52 PM MT · arrives 5:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6185 · PHX → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?