Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6185
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6185 · PHX → IAH
departs 12:42 PM MT · arrives 5:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
12pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.59 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.