WN 4280 · MDW → OAK

took off 10:17 AM CT · landed 12:25 PM PT (scheduled 10:06 AM CT → 12:28 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OAK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ MDW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4280 · MDW → OAK

Odds over time

How late did it get to OAK?