WN 4505 · SAN → HOU

took off 1:02 PM PT · landed 5:38 PM CT (scheduled 12:34 PM PT → 5:35 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HOU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4505 · SAN → HOU

Odds over time

How late did it get to HOU?