AA 2873 · CLT → PDX

took off 7:31 PM ET · landed 9:43 PM PT (scheduled 6:10 PM ET → 8:47 PM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PDX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2873 · CLT → PDX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PDX?