Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3216SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
AA 3216 · MIA → BWI
departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 11:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 101h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
39%chance · ±13 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.