tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 422 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 422 · DCA → MIA

departs 8:20 AM ET · arrives 11:17 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.