Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 15SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 15 · DCA → SAN
departs 10:57 AM ET · arrives 1:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.