Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1854
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1854 · DCA → BOS
departs 9:01 PM ET · arrives 10:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 35%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DCA that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.