Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1854
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 1854 · DCA → BOS
departs 9:01 PM ET · arrives 10:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29 31%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.