Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
G7 4432 · EWR → DCA
departs 6:18 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 55%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
6pm departures from EWR are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at DCA that day
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DCA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.