Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 5893 · LAX → SBA
departs 12:58 PM PT · arrives 2:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SBA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SBA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.