WN 1469 · DAL → STL

departs 1:02 PM CT · arrives 2:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1469 · DAL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?