Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1469
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 1469 · DAL → STL
departs 12:55 PM CT · arrives 2:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,767 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip none
STL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.