WN 4488 · AUS → HOU

departs 1:14 PM CT · arrives 2:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.06 in

HOU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4488 · AUS → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?