Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4488
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 4488 · AUS → HOU
departs 1:10 PM CT · arrives 2:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 31%
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 3.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.