Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 9000
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
WN 9000 · SAN → OGG
departs 11:08 AM PT · arrives 2:17 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 31%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 333 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
OGG is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Arrivals into OGG at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
OGG (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 333 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.