Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
YX 5768 · DCA → LGA
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 48%
Sun 11/1 48%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±9 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DCA that day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.