Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 521
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
9X 521 · JHM → HNL
departs 7:22 AM HT · arrives 8:21 AM HT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28 28%
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave JHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
9X's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
JHM (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.