Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 257 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:57 PM ET, ETA 8:45 PM CST)
Today

AA 257 · MIA → MEX

took off 7:57 PM ET · expected to land 8:45 PM CST (scheduled 6:41 PM ET → 8:04 PM CST)
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to MEX?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    <1%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    84%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.