AA 460 · DFW → CLT

took off 8:26 PM CT · expected to land 11:24 PM ET (scheduled 8:28 PM CT → 12:02 AM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 460 · DFW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?