Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2307
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 2307 · MSP → BIS
departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 7:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at BIS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BIS?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BIS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.