Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2307
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2307 · MSP → BIS
departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 7:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at BIS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BIS?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
BIS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.