DL 2382 · LGA → MIA

left the gate 8:19 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 7:55 PM ET → 11:22 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N959DZ (B739), coming in as DL 1538 from MIA: landed 6:25 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±2 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at MIA that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2382 · LGA → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?