Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2382
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2382 · LGA → MIA
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 11:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
7pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.