Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5042 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

OH 5042 · DCA → AGS

departs 7:48 PM ET · arrives 9:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at AGS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AGS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AGS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AGS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5042 · DCA → AGS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AGS?