WN 4779 · BNA → MIA

departs 7:43 PM CT · arrives 11:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4779 · BNA → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?