Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1514 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

AA 1514 · DFW → ELP

departs 8:41 PM CT · arrives 9:31 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

ELP (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1514 · DFW → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?