AA 708 · MIA → DCA

departs 10:10 PM ET · arrives 12:49 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,786 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.76 in

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 708 · MIA → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?