Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1386
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1386 · MIA → ATL
departs 6:28 PM ET · arrives 8:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 62%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
6pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.60 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.