Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1386
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1386 · MIA → ATL
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sat 10/31 44%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
6pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.25 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.