Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2297
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2297 · MSP → PHX
departs 6:27 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 56%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.