Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 419 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

DL 419 · SEA → HNL

departs 4:41 PM PT · arrives 7:56 PM HT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 419 · SEA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?