Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 419 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 419 · SEA → HNL

departs 4:41 PM PT · arrives 9:08 PM HT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 419 · SEA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?