Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2417 · LAS → SJC
departs 7:34 PM PT · arrives 9:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 72%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 53%
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 21%
Thu 11/5 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±7 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.