Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4356
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
WN 4356 · DEN → MKE
departs 5:02 PM MT · arrives 8:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 46%
Mon 11/2 64%
Tue 11/3 44%
Wed 11/4 33%
Thu 11/5 50%
Fri 11/6 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.