Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4356
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 4356 · DEN → MKE
departs 6:46 PM MT · arrives 10:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 64%
Tue 11/3 44%
Wed 11/4 33%
Thu 11/5 50%
Fri 11/6 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±8 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.