Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4356
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 4356 · DEN → MKE
departs 7:26 PM MT · arrives 10:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sun 11/1 46%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 44%
Wed 11/4 33%
Thu 11/5 50%
Fri 11/6 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 46 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.