Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1577 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 1577 · MIA → CLT

departs 7:15 PM ET · arrives 9:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±7 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.29 in

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1577 · MIA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?