tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1869 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1869 · MIA → GYE

departs 7:27 PM ET · arrives 12:00 AM -05
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at GYE more than 15 minutes late?
58% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to GYE?

  1. On time or early
    39%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.