tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 458 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 458 · MIA → MSP

departs 9:02 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
56% chance · ±5 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSP?

  1. On time or early
    37%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    16%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.