AA 565 · MIA → CLT

departs 4:04 PM ET · arrives 6:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.18 in

CLT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 565 · MIA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?